Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.044510 0.048425 0.052388 0.056692 0.061228 0.065860 0.070941
2025-07-20 0.038011 0.043724 0.049714 0.056439 0.063751 0.071436 0.080099
2025-07-27 0.033711 0.040741 0.048345 0.057121 0.066912 0.077443 0.089571
2025-08-03 0.030713 0.038796 0.047780 0.058400 0.070505 0.083774 0.099319
2025-08-10 0.026321 0.034841 0.044583 0.056382 0.070123 0.085466 0.103739
2025-08-17 0.023456 0.032399 0.042890 0.055869 0.071265 0.088726 0.109807
2025-08-24 0.020991 0.030222 0.041318 0.055323 0.072218 0.091653 0.115408
2025-08-31 0.019911 0.029656 0.041606 0.056929 0.075661 0.097446 0.124321
2025-09-07 0.018720 0.028844 0.041502 0.057987 0.078396 0.102377 0.132223
2025-09-14 0.017490 0.027881 0.041129 0.058642 0.080591 0.106637 0.139321
2025-09-21 0.016169 0.026699 0.040392 0.058770 0.082084 0.110017 0.145354
2025-09-28 0.015563 0.026445 0.040824 0.060357 0.085373 0.115571 0.154013
2025-10-05 0.014137 0.024979 0.039618 0.059823 0.086025 0.117966 0.158952
2025-10-12 0.013075 0.023962 0.038959 0.059961 0.087502 0.121368 0.165133
2025-10-19 0.012367 0.023415 0.038902 0.060864 0.089942 0.125963 0.172791
2025-10-26 0.011887 0.023174 0.039246 0.062291 0.093058 0.131414 0.181532
2025-11-02 0.010362 0.021215 0.037074 0.060226 0.091553 0.131004 0.182972
2025-11-09 0.009428 0.020117 0.036073 0.059710 0.092040 0.133083 0.187494
2025-11-16 0.008561 0.019058 0.035074 0.059148 0.092426 0.135006 0.191804
2025-11-23 0.008350 0.019081 0.035673 0.060833 0.095832 0.140825 0.201060
2025-11-30 0.008006 0.018851 0.035873 0.061941 0.098460 0.145647 0.209074
2025-12-07 0.007582 0.018450 0.035790 0.062627 0.100506 0.149719 0.216149
2025-12-14 0.007059 0.017833 0.035343 0.062761 0.101782 0.152781 0.221940